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Dovish Reaction To April CPI Builds

CANADA
  • The dovish reaction to some particularly favorable recent inflation trends has built further, with 2Y GoC yields now -6bps since the CPI report for -7.8bps on Friday’s close.
  • 2Y Tsy yields are near unchanged over the post-data period after a short-lived spike higher on Fed Gov. Waller comments.
  • The Can-US 2Y yield differential is 6bp lower post-release at -68bps for its lowest since May 7.
  • BoC-dated OIS is hovering around 15bp of a cut for the Jun 5 BoC, whilst CORRA futures have built to show 69bp of cuts over 2024 contracts (63bps prior), although further cuts over 2025 contracts are trimmed slightly to 67bps (69bp prior).

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