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DXY Consolidation Continues, Net Dollar Specs Decrease Slightly

FOREX
  • Net long specs on the US Dollar decreased slightly in the week ended May 17, down 3.3K to a total of 175K contracts.
  • Even though market uncertainty remains elevated as global slowdown accelerates, DXY index continues it ST ‘bear’ consolidation, gradually approaching its ST support at 102.
  • A break below that level would open the door for a move down to 101.05, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 94.9290 – 105 range and the 50DMA.
  • However, hawkish Fed combined with surging stagflation risks should support the US Dollar in the medium term against major crosses.
  • The 100.50 – 101.05 represents a strong support zone for the DXY index where the Dollar could receive support as investors remain skeptical that risk on currencies such as Sterling or the Euro could experience strong rebound in current environment.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI.

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