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US TSYS: Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Puts Pre-PPI

US TSYS

Mixed overnight SOFR & Treasury option trade leaning towards downside puts ahead the NY open, focus on PPI inflation data after yesterday's higher than expected CPI weighed heavily on rates (10Y yield tapped 4.6576% high). Underlying futures recovering some of yesterday's move (extended highs on Pres Trump's mention of imminent reciprocal tariffs today). Projected rate cuts through mid-2025 slightly firmer vs. late Wednesday lows (*) as follows: Mar'25 steady at -0.5bp, May'25 at -3.9bp (-3.2bp), Jun'25 at -9.8bp (-9.1bp), Jul'25 at -13.6bp (-12.6bp).

  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,400 SFRZ5 96.00/96.12/96.18/96.31 call condors
    • 3,000 0QU5 94.50/95.00 put spd vs. 3QU5 94.37/94.87 put spd spd
    • 2,300 0QH5 95.87/96.00/96.12/96.31 broken call condors ref 95.94
    • 6,000 SFRM5 95.93/96.00 call spds ref 95.765
    • 1,750 SFRK5 95.62/95.75/95.88 put trees
    • 4,000 SFRH5 95.56/95.62/95.68 put flys ref 95.69
    • 5,500 SFRU5 96.00/96.12/96.25/96.37 call condors ref 95.85 to -.855
    • 4,000 2QM5 95.87 calls, ref 95.915
    • 7,250 SFRJ5 95.62/95.68/95.75 put flys ref 95.76
  • Treasury Options:
    • over 7,800 TYJ5 110 calls 16 last ref 108-15
    • 6,000 TYH5 107.75/108.25 put spds vs. 109 calls ref 108-14.5
    • over 7,000 TYH5 107.5 puts, 4 ref 108-13
    • 1,500 wk2 TY 108/108.25 3x2 put spds ref 108-14 (exp Fri)
    • 2,000 TYH5 107.25/108 put spds ref 108-12.5
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Mixed overnight SOFR & Treasury option trade leaning towards downside puts ahead the NY open, focus on PPI inflation data after yesterday's higher than expected CPI weighed heavily on rates (10Y yield tapped 4.6576% high). Underlying futures recovering some of yesterday's move (extended highs on Pres Trump's mention of imminent reciprocal tariffs today). Projected rate cuts through mid-2025 slightly firmer vs. late Wednesday lows (*) as follows: Mar'25 steady at -0.5bp, May'25 at -3.9bp (-3.2bp), Jun'25 at -9.8bp (-9.1bp), Jul'25 at -13.6bp (-12.6bp).

  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,400 SFRZ5 96.00/96.12/96.18/96.31 call condors
    • 3,000 0QU5 94.50/95.00 put spd vs. 3QU5 94.37/94.87 put spd spd
    • 2,300 0QH5 95.87/96.00/96.12/96.31 broken call condors ref 95.94
    • 6,000 SFRM5 95.93/96.00 call spds ref 95.765
    • 1,750 SFRK5 95.62/95.75/95.88 put trees
    • 4,000 SFRH5 95.56/95.62/95.68 put flys ref 95.69
    • 5,500 SFRU5 96.00/96.12/96.25/96.37 call condors ref 95.85 to -.855
    • 4,000 2QM5 95.87 calls, ref 95.915
    • 7,250 SFRJ5 95.62/95.68/95.75 put flys ref 95.76
  • Treasury Options:
    • over 7,800 TYJ5 110 calls 16 last ref 108-15
    • 6,000 TYH5 107.75/108.25 put spds vs. 109 calls ref 108-14.5
    • over 7,000 TYH5 107.5 puts, 4 ref 108-13
    • 1,500 wk2 TY 108/108.25 3x2 put spds ref 108-14 (exp Fri)
    • 2,000 TYH5 107.25/108 put spds ref 108-12.5