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ECB-dated OIS Pricing Steady Following PMIs

STIR

ECB-dated OIS pricing is little changed vs Friday's levels, with less than 1bp of tightening priced for the next meeting in December and the first 25bp cut more than fully priced through the end of the Bank's June 2024 meeting.

  • Current pricing indicates over 90bps of cuts through the 2024 ECB meetings.
  • The wave of October services PMIs from the Eurozone this morning did not move the needle in EGBs or STIRs, with the themes of demand deterioration seemingly baked into prices already.
  • The Euro Sentix survey for October showed a slight improvement vs consensus and the October reading but similarly had limited effect.
  • ECB-speak from de Guindos, Holzmann and Nagel will be the focus for the remainder of today.

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