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Economic Sentiment Edges Down in April

SWEDEN
MNI (London)

SWEDEN APR ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 87.3; MAR 88.4r

  • The Swedish Economic Tendency Indicator softened by 0.9 points to 87.3 in April, as business sentiment weakened across all but construction.
  • Consumer confidence recorded a 1.3-point uptick to 65.1, as personal finance and Swedish economic expectations improved. This was the a fourth consecutive month of improvement, yet the indicator remains severely downtrodden, implying soft spending for the time being.
  • Manufacturing sentiment edged down in April, despite remaining above average, whilst retail trade confidence dipped further into pessimistic territory.
  • Service sector confidence slowed, citing weak demand and continued labour shortages.
  • On the inflation front positive indications of cooling CPI were evident, with retail selling price intentions markedly reduced.
  • This follows the Riksbank's widely anticipated 50 basis point hike yesterday, lifting the policy rate to 3.5% although its forecasts and commentary suggested that it was nearly at peak, with one more 25 bps hike likely either in June or September.
  • As reiiterated by the Economic Tendency Survey, Swedish growth outlooks remain muted. The Riksbank is now looking for a softer -0.7% 2023 contraction, whilst downgrading 2024 GDP to almost stagnant at +0.2%.
Swedish Economic Tendency Indicators:

Source: Sweden Konjunktur Institutet / NIER

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