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EGB/Gilt: Broad Gains​

BOND SUMMARY

European sovereign bonds have rallied this morning alongside gains for equities and commodities.

  • Gilts opened higher and have gradually given up some of the early gains, while continuing to trade above Friday's closing levels. Cash yields are 1-3bp lower on the day, with the belly of the curve slightly outperforming. Focus this week will be on the budget this Wednesday with Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak strongly hinting at the likelihood of tax rises - if not announced at this week, then at some point in this parliament.
  • Bunds have rallied and the curve has bull flattened. Cash yields have edged down 1-4bp.
  • OATs trade in line with bunds and the curve has similarly flattened. Last yields: 2-year -0.5970%, 5-year -0.5478%, 10-year -0.0589%, 30-year 0.6989%.
  • BTPs have outperformed core EGBs with yields 4-6bp lower.
  • Supply this morning came from Germany (Bubills, EUR5.08bn) and the Netherlands (DTCs, EUR2.15bn).
  • Italian and Spanish manufacturing PMI data for February came in better than expected. German regional CPI data for February has broadly accelerated in Y/Y terms since January.

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