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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessEGB/Gilt: Markets Looking For Sign Of Potential 50bp ECB Hike
Euro area government bonds have traded firmer this morning ahead of the ECB meeting. Equities are commodities are broadly lower, while FX performance has been mixed on the day.
- The ECB's action plan has been well telegraphed by this point: net purchases under the APP will conclude in early July, setting the stage for a hike at the 21 July meeting. Any material deviation from this announcement constitutes a risk.
- The balance of risks are tilted in a hawkish direction, with markets focused on any signals of a potential 50bp, rather than 25bp, policy rate hike.
- Bunds have had a choppy start to the session and now trade firmer on the day with yields broadly 1-2bp lower. and the curve trading close to flat overall.
- OAT yields are down 2-3bp and trading near the lows of the day.
- BTPs have outperformed core EGBs with yields down 2-4bp and with the belly of the curve leading the way.
- Gilts have weakened slightly across the curve, but lack strong direction.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.