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Free AccessEGB/Gilt: Twist Steepening
Euro area government bond curves have twist steepened in the wake of yesterday's FOMC decision where policymakers doubled down with another 75bp hike. Regional equities and FX, meanwhile, trade mixed.
- Regional German CPI data for July broadly show a deceleration from the previous month. Elsewhere, Eurozone economic, industrial and service confidence all deteriorated further in July.
- In an interview published by Politico yesterday evening, the ECB's Ignazio Visco stated that the decision to adjust policy rates will depend on "the developments in prices and in the real economy, because the real economy affects prices" and that "what we see in the real economy, certainly it is not terribly encouraging".
- Gilts initially opened lower but recovered some of the earlier losses. Cash yields are now 1-4bp higher on the day with the longer-end of the curve underperforming.
- The bund curve has twist steepened with the 2s30s spread 9bp wider
- The OAT curve has similarly twist steepened with the 2s30s spread widening 8bp.
- BTPs have traded broadly in line with core EGBs.
- Supply this morning came from Italy (BTPs/CCTeu, EUR7.5bn)
- Focus now shifts to the first estimate of US GDP for the second, which is published later today.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.