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/EGBS: And TD analysts also "don't expect...>

US TSYS
US TSYS: /EGBS: And TD analysts also "don't expect as much scarcity of Euro
collateral or short positioning in Bunds as last year. And finally over the next
week, we expect bill supply to decline into the Dec.8th (US) debt ceiling
deadline. However, liquidity concerns into the turn (year-end) and impending
Mifid 2 can certainly widen the basis some more."
- They add that "the 3m EUR/USD cross currency basis could widen into yearend,
and it could reach -60bp, but we don't see it revisiting the -80bp wides of
2016. The 12bp spike in Eonia over the last two days is interesting as it has
occurred amid light volumes and without any obvious trigger. If this move
continues, it could tighten the EUR/USD cross currency basis, but we don't see
these Eonia spikes as a start of a new trend."

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