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EGBs-GILTS: Deal Optimism Sinks Gilts

BOND SUMMARY

Bunds and Gilts have bear steepened in early trade on renewed Brexit deal optimism.

  • Various EU officials (Sefcovic, Michel, Barnier) speaking this morning on Brexit, haven't changed their tune on the challenges in the negotiations but of course again nothing to preclude an eventual deal. Barnier emphasizing UK "sovereignty" enough to get GBP on the front foot and Gilts weaker.
  • In issuance, Greece tapping Feb-35 GGB via syndication.
  • ECB's Lagarde and Lane speaking in ECB Listens event; though de Guindos speaks (2x) and Lane appears again, more interesting is likely to be BoE's Ramsden at 1310BST.
  • UK Sep CPI came in slightly on the weak side for headline; no other key data today.

Latest levels:

  • Dec Bund futures (RX) down 43 ticks at 175.38 (L: 175.34 / H: 175.69)
  • Dec Gilt futures (G) down 42 ticks at 136.04 (L: 136.03 / H: 136.26)
  • Dec BTP futures (IK) up 2 ticks at 149.17 (L: 149.06 / H: 149.35)
  • Italy / German 10-Yr spread 2bps tighter at 131.4bps

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