Free Trial

EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: ECB Hikes 75bp, But Intrigue Lies Elsewhere

BONDS

The ECB delivered a record 75bp hike today, but with that priced in beforehand, most reaction came on the non-rate intrigue.

  • German Schatz yields rose sharply as the ECB surprised by removing the 0% interest rate ceiling for remuneration of government deposits. That move was seen as easing recent bond collateral shortage fears, especially at the short end.
  • The usual round of post-meeting sources stories began with a BBG piece right on the cash close that saw BTPs fall sharply: ECB officials "don't exclude" another 75bp raise in October, with "QT expected to be discussed" at the Oct meeting and beyond.
  • BTPs had been seen benefiting from the apparent lack of discussion of QT today, so futures sold off after the sources story.
  • Overshadowed was the pullback in BoE pricing in the afternoon from session highs, as analysts dropped their inflation forecasts on gov't energy cost mitigation plans.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany:

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 22.9bps at 1.334%, 5-Yr is up 18.1bps at 1.555%, 10-Yr is up 14bps at 1.717%, and 30-Yr is up 9.8bps at 1.779%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 6.7bps at 3.068%, 5-Yr is up 9bps at 3.007%, 10-Yr is up 11.3bps at 3.147%, and 30-Yr is up 12.9bps at 3.498%.
  • Italian BTP spread down 3.4bps at 225.7bps / Greek down 6.7bps at 251.2bps

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.