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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Eyeing Overtightening Risks

BONDS

UK and German yields saw little net change Thursday, coming off intraday highs set after stronger-than-expected US PPI data.

  • Gilt and Bund yields hit the highest since early January before fading toward the close. Schatz yields set a fresh post-2008 high.
  • Just after the close, BoE's Pill said there's a risk of overtightening rates, echoing comments by ECB's Panetta early in the session.
  • However, ECB terminal rate expectations continued to climb (ECB nearing 3.70%), while BoE fell to a week low (Bank Rate seen peaking just below 4.50%).
  • Periphery EGB spreads were steady.in a fairly heavy supply day including Italian 30Y syndication and a Spanish Obli auction.
  • Attention first thing Friday will be on UK retail sales data.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 0.2bps at 2.881%, 5-Yr is up 0.8bps at 2.537%, 10-Yr is up 0.3bps at 2.478%, and 30-Yr is up 0.2bps at 2.436%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 0.5bps at 3.798%, 5-Yr is down 1.6bps at 3.41%, 10-Yr is up 1.2bps at 3.499%, and 30-Yr is up 2.6bps at 3.896%.
  • Italian BTP spread down 0.1bps at 185.5bps / Spanish bond spread unchanged at 96.3bps

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