December 18, 2024 17:25 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Gilt Yields Widen Vs Bunds Again Pre-BoE
BONDS
The Gilt sell-off continued Wednesday as BoE rate cut pricing diminished yet again.
- While UK CPI data was largely in line, follow through from Tuesday's strong wage data saw implied BoE rate cuts diminish below 50bp for 2025. A hold is still the overwhelming base case for Thursday's decision.
- The effects continued to be felt through the curve, and the 10Y Gilt/Bund spread extended to another post-1990 wide (231bp). 10Y Gilt yields closed 0.5bp below the 2024 high close.
- The UK curve bear steepened though the 10Y segment, with Germany's twist steepening.
- Periphery / semi-core EGB spreads were mixed.
- Attention after the cash close is on the Federal Reserve meeting, while Thursday's focus will be the Bank of England decision - MNI's preview is here.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.3bps at 2.028%, 5-Yr is up 0.3bps at 2.07%, 10-Yr is up 1.5bps at 2.245%, and 30-Yr is up 2.3bps at 2.475%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 1bps at 4.463%, 5-Yr is up 2.3bps at 4.394%, 10-Yr is up 3.4bps at 4.558%, and 30-Yr is up 1.6bps at 5.063%.
- Italian BTP spread up 0.4bps at 115.9bps / French OAT down 0.3bps at 80.2bps
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