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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Yields Eventually Shrug Off BoE QT Intrigue

BONDS

Gilts strengthened again Tuesday, outperforming Bunds. The UK curve bull flattened again, with Germany's bear steepening.

  • The main market attention in the morning was an FT article pointing to the BoE postponing QT, but this was subsequently denied by the Bank, leading Gilts to sell off.
  • However, yields fell again in the early afternoon as US trading desks came online, and broadly shrugged off a spike in Treasury yields toward the cash close.
  • No particular catalyst seen for the sustained afternoon recovery, though falling oil prices were seen underpinning European bonds.
  • Periphery spreads were mixed, with the higher-beta instruments (BTPs, GGBs) underperforming.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany:

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 2.1bps at 1.975%, 5-Yr is up 0.7bps at 2.087%, 10-Yr is up 1.4bps at 2.283%, and 30-Yr is up 2.7bps at 2.321%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.6bps at 3.563%, 5-Yr is down 4.7bps at 3.895%, 10-Yr is down 3.1bps at 3.946%, and 30-Yr is down 7.6bps at 4.302%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 2.2bps at 241bps / Greek up 5.2bps at 272.2bps

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