January 27, 2025 17:36 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Yields Pull Back On Tech-Led Equity Weakness
BONDS
European yields fell Monday though finished off session lows, mirroring intraday movements in equities.
- U.S. equity weakness (less pronounced in Europe), triggered by Chinese tech firm DeepSeek's AI advancements weighing on U.S. tech megacaps, saw bonds supported for most of the session.
- However, yields finished up from intraday lows as stocks recovered. 10Y Gilts closed 3bp up from the session lows, with Bunds bouncing 4bp.
- Even so, German curve bull steepened, with the UK's more mixed with belly outperformance. Periphery/semi-core EGB spreads to Bunds widened slightly; RAGBs slightly underperformed peers following an Austrian dual-tranche syndication mandate.
- In data, January German IFO came in a little stronger than expected, but Expectations unexpectedly fell. Market reaction was limited.
- Focus for the week remains on Thursday's ECB decision, as well as multiple data points including Eurozone country-level preliminary inflation data for January.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 4.1bps at 2.249%, 5-Yr is down 4bps at 2.341%, 10-Yr is down 3.8bps at 2.531%, and 30-Yr is down 3.4bps at 2.751%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 3.7bps at 4.288%, 5-Yr is down 5.4bps at 4.283%, 10-Yr is down 4.4bps at 4.585%, and 30-Yr is down 4.7bps at 5.143%.
- Italian BTP spread up 1.5bps at 110.2bps / French OAT up 0.2bps at 74bps
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