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EGBS: Off Lows; Peripherals Tighten As Political Uncertainty Fades A Touch
Core/semi-core EGBs are off intraday lows, though Bund futures are still a touch weaker on the day.
- The removal of some of last week’s French political risk premium appeared to weigh on Bunds this morning, with weakness coinciding with a second day of narrowing for German ASWs.
- Hawkish impulses from the RBA’s post-decision press conference will have also weighed at the margin.
- Yesterday’s low provided support for Bund futures, which are -16 ticks at 132.27. Recent gains have cancelled a bearish technical theme, with Friday’s high at 133.21 the first resistance.
- OAT futures are flat at 124.03, off intraday highs of 124.32.
- Eurozone final May core HICP confirmed flash estimates at 2.9% Y/Y, while the German ZEW survey was weaker-than-expected on the Expectations and Current Situation metrics.
- Neither of those data points were particularly market moving.
- The German cash curve has bear flattened, with yields flat to 3bps higher. E4bln of 2.10% Apr-29 Bobl supply was well digested.
- 10-year peripheral spreads to Bunds are tighter, owing to the aforementioned fading of some French political uncertainty.
- Today’s scheduled ECB speakers include Vujcic, Cipollone, de Guindos and Knot, while US retail sales headline the broader macro data schedule at 1330BST.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.