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EIA Forecast Henry Hub above 3$/mmbtu in Q3 2023
US natural gas prices are forecast to rise to slightly above 3$/mmbtu in Q3 2023 due to increased demand and flat production according to the EIA Short Term Energy Outlook released yesterday.
- Henry Hub prices in Q2 2023 will remain unchanged from Q1 to average $2.65/MMBtu after reduced demand in early 2023 due to warm temperatures.
- US dry natural gas production is forecast up 3% from 2022 at 100.87 bcf/day in 2023 compared to 100.67bcf/d forecast last month, and at 101.58bcf/d in 2024 compared with 101.69bcf/d projected last month. Output is expected to grow annually in 2024 at an average rate of 0.71bcf/d compared to the previous forecast of 1.02bcf/d.
- Natural gas inventories were estimated at 1,856bcf at the end of the withdrawal season and 19% above the five-year average. Inventories are forecast to rise by 1,985bcf for April through October.
- The report suggests that natural gas prices will also depend on temperatures throughout the summer with the share of total power generation supplied by natural gas remaining at about 39%.
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Why MNI
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