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Empire Manufacturing Survey Sees Rare Stability

US DATA
  • The Empire Fed manufacturing survey fared a little better than expected in July, essentially holding steady at -6.6 (cons -8.0) after -6.0, a rare lack of volatility for the survey.
  • It consolidates a relative improvement after three months between -14 and -21, and with a similar story in the new orders component (-0.6 after -1.0 following three months between -16 and -17).
  • Continuing the similarities with the June report, the six-month outlook softened but remains far more optimistic than current conditions at +25.8 after June’s +30.1 was the highest since Mar 2022.
  • On prices, there’s no sign of the spike in prices received in last month’s Philly survey. Empire current period prices received were +6.1 after +7.1, the lowest since Jul 2023 and before that Dec 2020.

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  • The Empire Fed manufacturing survey fared a little better than expected in July, essentially holding steady at -6.6 (cons -8.0) after -6.0, a rare lack of volatility for the survey.
  • It consolidates a relative improvement after three months between -14 and -21, and with a similar story in the new orders component (-0.6 after -1.0 following three months between -16 and -17).
  • Continuing the similarities with the June report, the six-month outlook softened but remains far more optimistic than current conditions at +25.8 after June’s +30.1 was the highest since Mar 2022.
  • On prices, there’s no sign of the spike in prices received in last month’s Philly survey. Empire current period prices received were +6.1 after +7.1, the lowest since Jul 2023 and before that Dec 2020.