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Maintains A Bullish Tone

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NBH Leaves 1W Depo Rate Unchanged At 10.75%

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-- Updated: August 31, 2017
              OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY    JUN    JUL   AUG
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
M3 (y/y
rate)         4.4   4.8   5.0   4.8   4.7   5.3   4.9    4.9    5.0    4.5
M3 (3-mth
moving avg)   4.8   4.7   4.8   4.9   4.9   4.9   5.0    5.1    4.9    4.8
HICP (y/y)    0.5   0.6   1.1   1.8   2.0   1.5   1.9    1.4    1.3    1.3  1.5p
SA jobless
rate          9.8   9.7   9.6   9.6   9.5   9.5   9.3    9.2    9.1    9.1
Retail
Sales (m/m)   1.1  -0.1  -0.3   0.1   0.5   0.4   0.1    0.4    0.5
PPI (y/y)    -0.5   0.0   1.6   3.9   4.5   3.9   4.3    3.4    2.5
Industry
Output(wda
y/y)          0.8   3.4   2.7   0.5   1.4   2.2   1.2    3.9    2.6
SA Trade
Balance (E
Bln)         19.7  21.8  23.0  15.1  18.2  21.5  18.8   19.0   22.3
SA Current
Account      23.5  28.0  24.5  22.8  34.3  33.8  23.0   30.5   21.2
Economic     106.  106.  107.  108.  108.  108.  109.
Morale          3     5     8     0     0     0     7  109.2  111.1  111.2
Industry
Morale       -0.7  -1.1   0.0   0.8   1.3   1.3   2.6    2.8    4.5    4.5
Consumer
Morale       -8.0  -6.2  -5.2  -4.9  -6.4  -5.1  -3.6   -3.3   -1.3   -1.7
PMI (mfg)    53.5  53.7  54.9  55.2  55.4  56.2  56.7   57.0   57.4   56.6
PMI (svc)    52.8  53.8  53.7  53.7  55.5  56.0  56.4   56.3   55.4   55.4
               4Q14  1Q15  2Q15  3Q15  4Q15  1Q16  2Q16  3Q16  4Q16  1Q17   2Q17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
real GDP
(y/y)           0.9   1.2   1.5   1.6   2.0   1.7   1.6   1.7   1.9   1.9  2.2p.
Labour Costs
(y/y)           1.2   1.9   1.7   1.1   1.3   1.7   1.1   1.4   1.6
Employment
(q/q)           0.1   0.1   0.4   0.3   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.3   0.4   0.4
Employment
(y/y)           0.9   0.8   1.0   1.1   1.2   1.4   1.4   1.3   1.4   1.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p: preliminary (flash) estimate
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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