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USDCAD TECHS

Heading South

AUDUSD TECHS

Northbound

EURJPY TECHS

Breaches Key Short-Term Support

US TSYS

Late SOFR/Treasury Option Trade

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Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 10:26 GMT Jul 16/06:26 EST Jul 16
-- Updated: July 16, 2018
            JUL  AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR   MAY   JUN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
M3 (y/y
rate)       4.5  5.0   5.2   5.0   4.9   4.6   4.6   4.2   3.7   3.9   4.0
M3 (3-mth
moving
avg)        4.8  4.8   4.9   5.1   5.0   4.8   4.7   4.4   4.2   4.0   3.9
HICP (y/y)  1.3  1.5   1.5   1.4   1.5   1.4   1.3   1.1   1.3   1.2   1.9  2.0p
SA jobless
rate        9.0  9.0   8.9   8.8   8.7   8.6   8.7   8.6   8.6   8.5
Retail
Sales            -0.
(m/m)       0.0    2   1.0  -1.1   2.1  -1.0  -0.4   0.3   0.6  -0.1   0.0
PPI (y/y)   2.0  2.5   2.9   2.5   2.8   2.2   1.6   1.7   2.0   1.9   3.0
Industry
Output(wda
y/y)        3.7  4.2   4.1   2.7   4.8   5.1   3.6   2.6   3.2   1.7   2.4
SA Trade
Balance (E  17.  20.
Bln)          0    5  23.7  17.6  20.2  22.8  19.5  19.7  19.5  18.0  16.9
SA Current  34.  41.
Account       8    8  39.2  35.1  36.5  34.3  39.6  36.6  32.8  28.4
Economic    111  111  112.  113.  114.  115.  114.  114.  112.  112.  112.  112.
Morale       .0   .6     8     4     2     2     9     3     8     7     5     3
Industry
Morale      5.1  5.8   7.7   8.5   9.1   9.6   9.8   8.8   7.0   7.1
Consumer    -1.  -1.
Morale        7    5  -1.2  -1.1   0.0   0.5   1.4   0.1   0.1   0.4
            56.  57.
PMI (mfg)     6    4  58.1  58.5  60.1  60.6  59.6  58.6  56.6  56.2  55.5  54.9
            55.  54.                                                        55.0
PMI (svc)     4    7  55.8  55.0  56.2  56.6  58.0  57.1  54.9  54.7  53.8     p
                3Q15  4Q15  1Q16  2Q16  3Q16  4Q16  1Q17  2Q17  3Q17  4Q17  1Q18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
real GDP (y/y)   1.6   2.0   1.7   1.6   1.7   1.9   2.0   2.4   2.7   2.8   2.5
Labour Costs
(y/y)            1.1   1.3   1.7   1.1   1.4   1.6   1.5   1.8   1.6   1.5   2.0
Employment
(q/q)            0.3   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.4   0.4
Employment
(y/y)            1.1   1.2   1.4   1.4   1.4   1.3   1.6   1.6   1.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p: preliminary (flash) estimate
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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