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Latest opinion polling from Yoneylem shows incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan trailing all likely second round candidates in hypothetical match-ups for the 2023 presidential election.

  • Presidential election, run-off scenarios (all Fieldwork: 24-30 September 2021 Sample size: 2,400):
    • Yavas (CHP): 61%, Erdogan (AKP): 39%
    • İmamoglu (CHP): 56%, Erdogan (AKP): 44%
    • Kılıcdaroglu (CHP): 50.4%, Erdogan (AKP): 49.6%
    • Aksener (IYI): 54%, Erdogan (AKP): 46%
  • Should Erdogan look to run for another term in 2023, polling indicates that his best hope of retaining power lies in winning an overall majority in the first round of the election, thereby avoiding a run-off vote.