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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
CEE
Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas remains under notable political pressure amid declining poll ratings, the continued fallout from a scandal involving her hsuband's alleged business links to Russia, and the call for her ouster from a former prime minister who hails from her own centre-right liberal Reform Party. Her position remains vulnerable despite the governing coalition actually expanding in terms of representation in the Riigikogu in recent days, and her re-election as party head in late-2023. .
- On 5 Jan, five lawmakers from the left-conservative opposition Centre Party defectedto the centre-left Social Democrats (SDE), which sits in gov't alongside Reform and the liberal Estonia 200 party. The gov't now holds 65 seats to the opposition's 36, up from 60 in the March '23 election.
- Former PM and Reform Party head Andrus Ansip, now an MEP, has maintained his calls for Kallas' resignation, stating that "Clearly this change of leader has to be carried out sooner or later. I would prefer to think sooner," Ansip said, adding the party has a roster of several "strong people" who could replace Kallas."
- While Estonia is the third-smallest eurozone economy, ahead of only Malta and Cyprus, it has taken an outsized role in the war in Ukraine. Kallas has been one of the most vocal hawks in the EU calling for Russia's defeat in Ukraine. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrives in Tallinn on 11 Jan following the Kallas gov'ts commitment of spending 0.25% of GDP per year for the next four years on Ukraine's defence.
Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Norstat, Kantar Emor, Turu-uuringute, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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