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EU LNG Sendout Increases with Higher Heating Demand

LNG

LNG net import flows to Europe have increased over the last week boosted by the cooler weather and higher heating demand. Gas spreads are holding steady with the front month and summer JKM-TTF spreads trading near flat.

  • Asia LNG prices have found some support recently with increased interest from price sensitive South Asian buyers. JKM is holding below 15$/mmbtu having been just below 30$/mmbtu at the start of the year.
  • The April US netback to Europe is at 11.05$/mmbtu compared to the netback to Asia at 10.43$/mmbtu. Netbacks from the US for the remaining summer months are approximately 0.5$/mmbtu higher to Europe than Asia.
  • LNG net import flows to Europe have increased to 489mcm/d on 24 Feb from 401mcm/d on 19 Feb.
  • Vessel tracking shows about 67 arrivals to NW European terminals in Feb compared to 79 in Jan and 90 in Dec. NW Europe is currently expecting about 24 cargoes to arrive at terminals in the coming couple of weeks.
    • TTF APR 23 up 1.5% at 47.36€/MWh
    • NBP APR 23 up 2.1% at 118p/th
    • JKM Apr 23 down -2.2% at 14.63$/mmbtu
    • JKM-TTF Apr 23 down -0.6$/mmbtu at -0.2$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas APR 23 down -0.6% at 2.73$/mmbtu


Source: Bloomberg

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