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EUR: Positive Equity Sentiment Boosts Euro, EURJPY Prints Back Above 161.00

EUR
  • Despite today’s poor German IFO data adding to the weaker-than-expected flash PMIs on Monday, the Chinese stimulus announcement overnight has boosted sentiment in equity markets, which in turn has provided support for the single currency.
  • EURUSD (+0.28%) has been steadily grinding higher, rising back towards the US session highs from yesterday. Above here, 1.1169 is the high this week and a resumption of gains would refocus the market’s attention on 1.1202, the Aug 26 high and bull trigger.
  • In similar vein, the PBOC stimulus and an uptick for core yields has prompted a solid recovery for EURJPY, which briefly traded back above 161.00 in recent trade, from a 159.24 low overnight. The cross is approaching the 50-day EMA at 161.73, an average we have not traded above since late July.
  • Countering the narrative is EURGBP, which continues to consolidate at depressed levels, following a range breakout to the downside during yesterday’s session. Alongside the breach of key support at 0.8383, we have also breached 0.8340 overnight, the Aug 2 ’22 low, placing the pair at the lowest level since April 2022. Support for the Pound is emanating both from its risk beta as well as solid growth momentum and a cautious central bank.
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