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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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G10 Markets
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Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
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Data
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Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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About Us
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
EUR Strength Falters, Markets Pre-Position for CPI
- EUR has been unable to maintain the strength seen through the Wednesday close, with EUR/USD fading off the early Asia-Pac session high at 1.0989. This has seen prices fade through the morning to dip back below 1.0975 and ease off the sharp rally through yesterday's WMR fix.
- Resultingly, EUR is the poorest performer in G10 ahead of the NY crossover, with the much-watched strength in EUR/JPY fading after a print at 160.01. Data and newsflow has been light and/or ineffective, leaving markets to pre-position ahead of the CPI print later today.
- NZD trades to the better, but the daily gains have made little dent in the broader NZD/USD chart. The subsequent retracement in EUR/NZD tips prices off the YTD high posted yesterday at 1.7639, and the sharply negative trend in the 50-dma points to near-term downward momentum. Cross has so far stopped dead on 1.7541, the 38.2% retracement for the Dec - Jan upleg, opening 1.7511 intraday, ahead of 1.7443 and the bear trigger of 1.7383.
- US CPI data takes focus going forward, with markets expecting headline Y/Y to tick higher to 3.2%, while Core Y/Y slows to 3.8% from 4.0%. Supercore trend rates are likely to remain very strong at 4% annualized handles, but the data may be treated with caution as differences in methodology have seen core PCE at notably weaker rates in recent months.
- Outside of CPI, ECB's Vujcic takes part in an MNI videoconference at 1400GMT/0900ET, with Fed's Mester & Barkin and ECB's Lagarde also set to make appearances.
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.