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EURHUF Testing 61.8% Fibo Support

HUNGARY
  • HUF has been the best performing currency among the EM world since the start of January; the forint is up 4% against the USD and 3.7% against the Euro.
  • Traders have been digesting the upward revision in EM central banks terminal rate (especially CEEMEA/Latam).
  • The 1W depo rate (effective rate) could reach up to 4.5% in early 2022, with ‘core’ policy rate expected to slowly converge towards 1W depo rate through H1 2022.
  • EURHUF tested its 355.40 support earlier today, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 345.10 - 372 range.
  • A break below that level would open the door for a move down to 352.50.
  • On the topside, first resistance to watch now stands at 357.70 (200DMA).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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