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EURHUF Trading Back Close To The 400 Level

HUNGARY
  • EURHUF has been trending higher in today’s trading session after hitting a local low at 394.50 this morning following the NBH surprising hike.
  • As we previously mentioned, the HUF remains driven by geopolitical uncertainty and the global risk off sentiment and therefore hiking rates too aggressively may not be enough to counter the forint weakness.
  • EURHUF is trading back around the 400 level, erasing its 2-day gains and therefore raising investors’ concerns that further HUF weakness will de-anchor inflation expectations.
  • We previously saw that the MT chart on EURHUF looks ‘bullish’.
    • ST resistance to watch on the topside stands at 402.90 (pair’s all time high).
    • Key level to watch above that stands at 410.75 (123.6% Fibo projection of 352.60 – 399.60 range).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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