Free Trial

Euribor Futures Firmer As Core EGBs Find Early Support

STIR

Euribor futures are flat to +2.5 through the blues as core EGBs move higher in early European trade.

  • Chinese economic data and notable EGB-related cash flows may be supporting EGBs early today.
  • A reduction in the size of BoJ bond purchases capped core global FI markets during Asia hours.
  • ECB-dated OIS contracts price 22bps of cuts through the June meeting, with a cumulative 68bps of cuts priced through year end.
  • Back on Friday, our policy team’s latest sources piece outlined the importance of Fed policy and geopolitics when it comes to ECB policy rate moves beyond June, with cautious preferences evident amongst the Governing Council.
  • Today’s Eurozone calendar is very light, with little data and no scheduled ECB speakers.
  • Looking ahead, this week includes final April EZ HICP figures and the second estimate of Q1 EZ GDP, though US CPI on Wednesday provides the main point of macro interest.

  • Meeting Date ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective ESTR Rate (bp)
    Jun-243.679-22.2
    Jul-243.624-27.7
    Sep-243.440-46.2
    Oct-243.369-53.2
    Dec-243.221-68.0

    To read the full story

    Close

    Why MNI

    MNI is the leading provider

    of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

    Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.