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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Europe Reliant on LNG as Pipeline Supplies Fall
LNG imports to NWE are well above normal as Europe looks to LNG to cover the missing pipeline supplies.
- Russian flows through Ukraine reduced from around 108mcm/d at the start of the year down to around 41mcm/d as Russian forces occupied an area of Ukraine and halting flows through Sokhranivka.
- Poland and Bulgaria refusal to pay for Russian gas in rubles led to the stoppage of their imports through the Yamal pipeline.
- The Nord Stream flows started to fall with Russia citing a missing turbine for the disruption before planned maintenance brought flows to a complete halt. Maximum capacity is approximately 167mcm/d.
- LNG net imports into NW Europe are 183mcm/d compared to the 5-year average of approximately 55mcm/d for this time of year. High TTF prices continue to encourage spot cargoes to Europe with the JKM-TTF spread at -11$/mmbtu. The Aug22 US netback to Europe is estimated at 41.43$/mmbtu and to Asia is 30.43$/mmbtu
- Below shows the Russian pipeline flows in to Europe and the NW Europe LNG net imports:
Source: Bloomberg
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