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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI Commodity Weekly: Oil Markets Assess Trump Impact
MNI Gas Weekly: Winter Weather Takes the Driver's Seat
### EXCLUSIVE: Peter Palfrey, co-portf......>
US TSYS: ### EXCLUSIVE: Peter Palfrey, co-portf. mgr of $6.5B Loomis Sayles Core
Plus Bond Fund, told MNI exclusively he does not expect a "taper tantrum" as Fed
starts to trim balance sheet holdings of Tsys and MBS bought for Q/E purposes.
He believes Fed will announce Q/E Taper details at Sep. FOMC mtg with "start of
the bal.sheet reduction in Oct. For the first 3-mo period, the Fed has guided
mkts toward a $10 bln monthly reduction in reinvestment of SOMA portfolio cash
flows: $6 bln reduction in USTs and a $4 bln in Agency MBS," he said. "That
total monthly amount will increase by $10bln in aggregate each qrtr, reaching a
maximum of $30bln in USTs and $20bln in MBS by the last qrtr of 2018"
- Palfrey believes financial markets have "largely discounted this gradual and
mechanical reduction in the reinvestment of balance sheet cash flows and we do
not anticipate much lasting dislocation in rates or risk markets due to taper,
nearer term, once the program is underway." He said while Taper start "seems all
but certain this fall, and is likely to proceed on schedule through the end of
next year, the pace and timing of any additional policy tightening will depend
on the upcoming data and upon the Fed's assessment of fincl conditions."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.