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Eyeing A PMI Recovery After October's Political Storm?

UK
An ugly set of October flash UK PMIs, but limited market reaction (Gilts still hovering around session lows, which is where they were prior to the data release).
  • Perhaps there is a sense that political uncertainty and related impact on interest rates/consumer confidence (political uncertainty is named 7 times in the S&P global press release) could be temporary, with a rebound due in the November survey if/when the UK political landscape calms.
  • Indeed, Gilt yields and BoE hike expectations have already calmed considerably already since late September/early October.
  • From the release: "Optimism levels hit a two-and-a-half year low in both the manufacturing and service sectors, with the slump in expectations overwhelmingly linked to political uncertainty, rising interest rates and worries about the impact of stubbornly high inflation on customer demand.

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