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Feb Inflation Numbers Above Analyst Consensus

UK DATA
MNI (London)

UK FEB CPI +0.8% M/M (forecast: +0.6%), +6.2% Y/Y (forecast: +6.0%)

CORE CPI +0.8% M/M, +5.2% Y/Y (forecast: +5.0%)

OUTPUT PPI +0.8% M/M (forecast: +0.9%), +10.1% Y/Y

INPUT PPI +1.4% M/M (forecast: +1.2%), +14.7% Y/Y (forecast: +13.9%)

  • UK consumer price inflation rose to 6.2% year-on-year in February, the highest level since the latest series began in 1997 and the highest since March 1992 in a historically modelled series, when it stood at 7.1%.according to the ONS.
  • Feb was up from 5.5% in February and above Bank of England expectations.
  • In February, CPI rose by 0.8% m/m, compared with a rise of 0.1% in the same month last year. This was the largest monthly CPI increase between January and February since 2009.
  • Factory gate inflation also rose sharply, underlining just how embedded inflation is becoming in the supply chain, with the headline rate of output prices showed positive growth of 10.1% on the year to February 2022, up from 9.9% in January 2022.
  • The headline rate of input prices showed positive growth of 14.7% on the year to February 2022, up from 14.2% in January 2022. Food products and metals and non-metallic minerals provided the largest upward contributions to the annual rates of output and input inflation, respectively.

Source: ONS

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