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Fed Hike Expectations

STIR FUTURES
  • Hike expectations are little changed from yesterday, especially over the immediate meetings with 45bps for May and 88bps for June in FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures.
  • Dec’22 has firmed from overnight but at 215bps is in the middle of yesterday’s range.
  • Fedspeak: Brainard (voter), Daly (2024) and Williams (voter) all speak today. Set to be Vice Chair when eventually confirmed by the Senate, Brainard speaks in a moderated discussion on the unequal impacts of inflation, with text and moderated Q&A.
  • Her last comments from Feb 18 are now stale but noted that she believed it appropriate to begin a series of rate hikes in March with b/s runoff starting in the next few FOMC meetings.

FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures implied cumulative hikesSource: Bloomberg

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