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Fed Implied Rates On Balance Higher Pre US CPI

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied rates are off overnight highs but on balance have nudged higher ahead of US CPI.
  • 3.5bp hike for Jun (+0.5bp), 19bp of cuts to 4.89% in Sep (+1bp) before a cumulative 42bp of cuts to 4.66% Nov (+1.5bp) and 64bp of cuts to 4.44% Dec (+2.5bp). The latter compares with 85bp of cuts to year-end priced just before Friday’s payrolls, whilst the 4.44% is at the level seen after last week’s JOLTS miss.
  • No Fedspeak scheduled for today with Gov. Waller next up tomorrow on financial stability & climate change.


FOMC-dated Fed Funds implied ratesSource: Bloomberg

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