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Fed Rate Path Within Yesterday’s Range

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes see 53.5bp for Dec, cumulative 92bp to 4.75% for Feb’23, terminal 4.98% in Jun’23 and 4.59% for Dec’23.
  • The terminal hovered either side of 5% yesterday, boosted by Fedspeak including unscheduled Brainard late on (updating prior remarks to say drawn-out sequences of negative supply shocks call for tighter policy) before fading.
  • No Fedspeak scheduled for today before Powell in focus tomorrow.

FOMC-dated Fed Funds implied rateSource: Bloomberg

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