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Free AccessFed's Mester Calls for Preemptive Tightening -Press
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester
warned Friday policymakers cannot wait until inflation hits 2% before continuing
with normalizing interest rates.
"I don't think we can wait until inflation gets back up to 2%. We've
learned over time that we need to be preemptive and that means we need to be
forward-looking," she said in a CNBC interview.
"I admit that it's hard to forecast inflation," but "where inflation is
today is not a very good forecast of where it's going tomorrow, Mester said on
the sidelines of the Fed's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo.
"Inflation is the place where there's been a couple of weak readings, but
again the best forecast has it going back up to 2% gradually over time. It seems
it's time to keep on this gradual reduction of accommodation," Mester said. She
is not a voter on the Federal Open Market Committee this year.
She said she see GDP growing "a bit above" 2% this year, her projection of
the longer term trend for economic expansion, driven by momentum in the
underlying economy.
The labor market has continued to be strong, adding about 180,000 new jobs
a month, "which is a very good thing," and business investment has bounced back
from very low levels, Mester said.
All that happened without much help from fiscal initiatives from the new
administration.
Business confidence, which jumped after the presidential election in
November, hadn't translated into improved economic activity. Now facing
uncertainty over tax and regulatory reforms, firms in her region are in a
wait-and-see mode, Mester said. "So if anything, it actually may be a little
weakening in activity."
Mester said she's "not overly concerned" with the level of stock prices at
the moment because earnings are robust and low rates make asset prices look a
little higher than they would otherwise.
Financial instability and excess leverage in the system are risks caused by
low rates and should be taken into account in making policy decisions, Mester
said, and support the gradual path of reduction in accommodation.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: jean.yung@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.