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The final seat projection model from twitter polling compiler and political forecaster LeanTossup.ca has Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party remaining the largest in the House of Commons, winning 158 seats. This would represent a gain of one seat from its 2019 federal election total.

  • Liberals: 158 (+1), Conservatives: 114 (-7), Bloc: 32 (-), NDP: 31 (+7), Greens: 3 (-) (Seat Changes With 2019 Election) Model Details Here: https://leantossup.ca/canada/
  • The projection of the Liberals retaining first place and the Conservatives losing seats could be viewed as something of a boon given opinion polls just weeks ago showed a strong likelihood of the Liberals losing seats. However, the net gain of just one seat for a snap election campaign that many said didn't need to be called would no doubt tarnish Trudeau's standing within the party.