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Final November Y/Y HICP Unch From Flash, M/M Revised Down 0.1pp

EUROZONE DATA

EZ Final Annual HICP for November confirms the flash estimate at +2.4% Y/Y (vs +2.9% Y/Y prior), although the final M/M was slightly more negative than the initial print, at -0.6% M/M (vs flash: -0.5% M/M).

  • Core inflation printed in line with the flash at +3.6% Y/Y (vs +4.2% Y/Y prior).
  • At a country level: Belgium, Greece, Italy, Cyprus, Portugal, Finland saw flash Y/Y HICP estimates revised down by -0.1ppt, while Ireland's flash was revised up +0.2ppts, with Spain, France, and Malta revised up +0.1ppt.
  • The final readings confirmed the broad-based deceleration in inflation in November. All major components apart from Unprocessed food (+0.28ppt vs +0.20ppt prior) and Energy (-1.41pp vs -1.45pp prior) contributed less to the headline Y/Y inflation rate than October.
  • The largest contributor to the headline rate was once again services (adding +1.69ppt), although this is the lowest Y/Y increase in services inflation since August 2022 and -0.28ppt lower contribution than in October (+1.97ppt).
  • Processed Food's contribution fell by 0.20ppt vs October's - accounting for around 1.09pp of the headline HICP Y/Y figure, and the eighth consecutive deceleration.



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