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FINANCIALS: Mastercard: Results Appear Spread Neutral

FINANCIALS

Mastercard (MA: Baa1) 2Q24 results were broadly in line with small misses on volumes offset by a better top line margin. Leverage is down from Mar-24 (seasonal). Spreads have done little since last results (or over the last month) so this appears a relatively spread-neutral event, in our view.

  • Revenues were 1% ahead of consensus but higher costs meant EBITDA was only broadly in line, along with pre-tax profit. Debt-EBITDA is down to 2.0x (from 2.2x at Mar-24) on the seasonally stronger earnings figure.
  • Payments and spending volumes both missed consensus (by c.2%) with AsPac being the largest miss but a relatively broad spread of missed regional figures. Positively, the operating margin was around 70bp better than consensus which drove that revenue beat.
  • July trading looks similar or slightly better than 2Q24 but there’s nothing more substantive on the outlook.

Conf call is 1400 (London time) at: https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/532562736

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