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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: Japan Q3 GDP To Be Slightly Revised Down
Firmer As Goldman Remove Call For 25bp Hike
News that Goldman Sachs no longer looks for a hike from the Fed later this month (although they leave their 25bp hike calls for the May, June & July meetings pencilled in, albeit with considerable uncertainty cited) has provided a fresh leg of support for the space. Cash Tsys now sit 25bp richer to 2bp cheaper across the curve, with twist steepening in play as only 20+-Year paper sits higher in yield terms on the day. Futures firm across the curve, but don’t challenge session highs. Fed-dated OIS now prices 23bp of tightening for next week’s meeting, after pricing ~43.5bp of tightening at one point last week. This is the first time since 7 Feb that pricing for the meeting has showed below 25bp. Terminal rate pricing hovers around 5.05%, trimming over 20bp on the day, while ~40bp of cuts is now priced into the FOMC-dated OIS strip by year end (from the terminal rate).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.