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Free AccessFirmer As Q122 WPI Provides Marginal Miss
Bonds turn bid as the Q/Q & Y/Y WPI prints provide 0.1ppt misses vs. their respective BBG consensus calls, hitting +0.7% in Q/Q terms and +2.4% in Y/Y terms. While this may lower the odds of a 40bp move at the Bank’s June meeting, the underlying inflation dynamics, RBA view on Australia’s economic resilience and caution surrounding inflation psychology means that a minimum of a 25p hike should be implemented next month. Add into that mix the lagged nature of the WPI release, in addition to compositional questions given recent renumeration trends and the RBA’s willingness to act on liaison programme communique. YM has firmed by ~6bp post release, last printing -2.5 on the day, while XM is -4.5 on the day, richening by ~4.0 bp in the wake of the data.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.