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Firmer Risk Sentiment Weighs On Greenback

FOREX
  • An extension of Thursday’s late bounce in major equity indices put the US dollar on the backfoot to end the week. The USD index is seen roughly half a percent lower on Friday, however, the index looks set to rise around 1% for the week and post the highest weekly close since October, 2002.
  • Additionally, despite some forecasters now looking for a 100bp fed rate hike, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller have both backed raising rates by 75bp this month. Furthermore, some analysts have noted that today’s fresh data may support this view, likely taking the shine off the USD as well as potential profit taking dynamics before the week’s close.
  • The broad dollar weakness has moderated the pressure on EUR/USD, with the rate back above the parity level that gave way earlier this week and making a push back towards the 1.01 mark.
  • In similar vein, a solid bounce in the likes of Aussie, which had come under initial pressure on Friday, following weaker than expected Chinese growth data. AUD, NZD and CAD all reside over a half percent stronger on the day.
  • Next Monday’s data highlight will be New Zealand CPI, which is expected to have risen to 7.1% Y/y. Markets will also receive inflation data from the UK and Canada next week, before central bank meetings/decisions for both the BOJ and ECB on Thursday.

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