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FOMC Balance Sheet Normalization Principles And Plans - Text>

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following is a Federal Reserve note 
regarding balances sheet normalization released Wednesday with the 
statement of the FOMC after its March 19-20 meeting: 
     In light of its discussions at previous meetings and the progress 
in normalizing the size of the Federal Reserve's securities holdings and 
the level of reserves in the banking system, all participants agreed 
that it is appropriate at this time for the Committee to provide 
additional information regarding its plans for the size of its 
securities holdings and the transition to the longer-run operating 
regime. At its January meeting, the Committee stated that it intends to 
continue to implement monetary policy in a regime in which an ample 
supply of reserves ensures that control over the level of the federal 
funds rate and other short-term interest rates is exercised primarily 
through the setting of the Federal Reserve's administered rates and in 
which active management of the supply of reserves is not required. The 
Statement Regarding Monetary Policy Implementation and Balance Sheet 
Normalization released in January as well as the principles and plans 
listed below together revise and replace the Committee's earlier Policy 
Normalization Principles and Plans. 
     To ensure a smooth transition to the longer-run level of reserves 
consistent with efficient and effective policy implementation, the 
Committee intends to slow the pace of the decline in reserves over 
coming quarters provided that the economy and money market conditions 
evolve about as expected. 
     The Committee intends to slow the reduction of its holdings of 
Treasury securities by reducing the cap on monthly redemptions from the 
current level of $30 billion to $15 billion beginning in May 2019. 
     The Committee intends to conclude the reduction of its aggregate 
securities holdings in the System Open Market Account (SOMA) at the end 
of September 2019.  
     The Committee intends to continue to allow its holdings of agency 
debt and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to decline, consistent 
with the aim of holding primarily Treasury securities in the longer run. 
     - Beginning in October 2019, principal payments received from 
agency debt and agency MBS will be reinvested in Treasury securities 
subject to a maximum amount of $20 billion per month; any principal 
payments in excess of that maximum will continue to be reinvested in 
agency MBS. 
     - Principal payments from agency debt and agency MBS below the $20 
billion maximum will initially be invested in Treasury securities across 
a range of maturities to roughly match the maturity composition of 
Treasury securities outstanding; the Committee will revisit this 
reinvestment plan in connection with its deliberations regarding the 
longer-run composition of the SOMA portfolio. 
     - It continues to be the Committee's view that limited sales of 
agency MBS might be warranted in the longer run to reduce or eliminate 
residual holdings. The timing and pace of any sales would be 
communicated to the public well in advance. 
     The average level of reserves after the FOMC has concluded the 
reduction of its aggregate securities holdings at the end of September 
will likely still be somewhat above the level of reserves necessary to 
efficiently and effectively implement monetary policy. 
     - In that case, the Committee currently anticipates that it will 
likely hold the size of the SOMA portfolio roughly constant for a time. 
During such a period, persistent gradual increases in currency and other 
non-reserve liabilities would be accompanied by corresponding gradual 
declines in reserve balances to a level consistent with efficient and 
effective implementation of monetary policy. 
     When the Committee judges that reserve balances have declined to 
this level, the SOMA portfolio will hold no more securities than 
necessary for efficient and effective policy implementation. Once that 
point is reached, the Committee will begin increasing its securities 
holdings to keep pace with trend growth of the Federal Reserve's 
non-reserve liabilities and maintain an appropriate level of reserves in 
the system. 
--MNI Washington Bureau, Tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: dcoffice@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MT$$$$,MMUFE$,MGU$$$,M$U$$$]

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