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Free AccessFOMC Excerpt: EFFR Moving Toward Top of Target Range-Text>
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are excerpts from the Federal Open
Market Committee minutes of the May 1 - 2 meeting, published Wednesday:
The deputy manager followed with a briefing focused on recent
developments in the federal funds market, noting that the effective
federal funds rate had increased in recent weeks and had moved toward
the top of the target range for the federal funds rate. In large part,
this development seemed to reflect a firming in rates on repurchase
agreements (repos) that, in turn, had resulted from an increase in
Treasury bill issuance and the associated higher demands for repo
financing by dealers and others. Higher rates had reportedly made repos
a more attractive alternative investment for major lenders in the
federal funds market, thus reducing the availability of funding in that
market and putting some upward pressure on the federal funds rate. While
some of the recent pressure on the federal funds rate could be expected
to fade over coming weeks as the market adjusts to higher levels of
Treasury bills, the gradual normalization of the Federal Reserves
balance sheet and the accompanying decline in reserves was anticipated
to continue putting some upward pressure on the federal funds rate
relative to the interest on excess reserves (IOER) rate.
The deputy manager then discussed the possibility of a small
technical realignment of the IOER rate relative to the top of the target
range for the federal funds rate. Since the target range was established
in December 2008, the IOER rate has been set at the top of the target
range to help keep the effective federal funds rate within the range.
Lately the spread of the IOER rate over the effective federal funds rate
had narrowed to only 5 basis points. A technical adjustment of the IOER
rate to a level 5 basis points below the top of the target range could
keep the effective federal funds rate well within the target range. This
could be accomplished by implementing a 20 basis point increase in the
IOER rate at a time when the Committee raised the target range for the
federal funds rate by 25 basis points. Alternatively, the IOER rate
could be lowered 5 basis points at a meeting in which the Committee left
the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged.
In their discussion of this issue, participants generally agreed
that it could become appropriate to make a small technical adjustment in
the Federal Reserves approach to implementing monetary policy by
setting the IOER rate modestly below the top of the target range for the
federal funds rate. Such an adjustment would be consistent with the
Committees statement in the Policy Normalization Principles and Plans
that it would be prepared to adjust the details of the approach to
policy implementation during the period of normalization in light of
economic and financial developments. Many participants judged that it
would be useful to make such a technical adjustment sooner rather than
later. Participants generally agreed that it would be desirable to make
that adjustment at a time when the FOMC decided to increase the target
range for the federal funds rate; that timing would simplify FOMC
communications and emphasize that the IOER rate is a helpful tool for
implementing the FOMCs policy decisions but does not, in itself, convey
the stance of policy. While additional technical adjustments in the IOER
rate could become necessary over time, these were not expected to be
frequent. A number of participants also suggested that, before too long,
the Committee might want to further discuss how it can implement
monetary policy most effectively and efficiently when the quantity of
reserve balances reaches a level appreciably below that seen in recent
years.
** MNI Washington Bureau: (202)371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$,MT$$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.