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FOREX: JPY Re-Engages Rally, Keeping Greenback Subdued

FOREX
  • Pervasive JPY strength has taken focus early Monday, with a confluence of light volumes, short-covering, pre-Jackson Hole positioning building on a JPY rally that was potentially initially triggered by news of a takeover offer from Japan's Seven & I from Canada's Couche-Tard. The move lower has raised focus on intraday support and levels seen lower at 145.52 (the 50% retracement of the corrective bounce off 141.70) while 15 min candles identify ~146.55-60 as a key pivot point.
  • USD/JPY losses have worked against the USD Index and kept the greenback subdued across the board. Resultantly, GBP/USD has broken higher and is extending the bounce off medium-term support at the 200-dma, which successfully contained the sell-off into the early August low. Resistance at 1.2955 has been cleared on Monday's strength, but the bull trigger and mid-July high at 1.3044 is out of reach for now. Prelim UK PMI numbers due later this week should provide the latest look at services prices and overall economic performance ahead of September's BoE decision on the 19th.
  • Elsewhere, antipodean currencies trade well, with NZD and AUD firmer against most others. AUD/USD has struggled to make headway toward $0.67 so far, but a solid start for equities at the Wall Street open could lend support toward resistance at 0.6693.
  • Focus for the duration of the Monday session turns to July's Leading Index from the US as well as opening remarks from Fed's Waller at a policy workshop, and a late appearance from ECB's Rehn. 

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