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Forint Among Top EMEA Currencies in Wake of Softer Inflation Data

HUF
EURHUF spiked slightly higher to an intraday high of 389.15 following the weaker-than-expected CPI data, but the cross has since reversed its gains and sits 0.3% lower on the day overall. Price action places the forint second to only the South African rand at the top of the EMEA pile, as a firmer equity backdrop and weaker greenback supports broader EM FX.
  • CPI came in softer than forecast at 0.4% M/M vs. Exp. 0.5% (Prior: 0.7%), Y/Y 12.2% vs. Exp. 12.4% (Prior: 16.4%). This marked the eighth consecutive sequential slowdown in inflation, with food price inflation dropping to 15.2% from 19.5% in the prior month. The economy ministry stated the data was evidence of the government's success in fighting inflation, predicting CPI may slow to below 10% in November.
  • The technical outlook in EURHUF is still bullish with key resistance marked at 394.67, the Aug 3 high. Clearance of this level would open $402.45, the Mar 20 high. On the downside, support is found at the 50-day EMA, intersecting today at 385.50.

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