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Free AccessMNI Gilt Week Ahead
MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Rounds Out Cabinet Nominations
France on Thursday...........>
FRANCE AUCTION PREVIEW: France on Thursday re-opens 10-/15-/30Yr OATs for a
combined E8.5-10.0bln: 0.50% May-29 OAT, 1.25% May-34 OAT, and 1.50% May-50 OAT.
- HISTORY: The 10- and 30- Yr benchmarks were last re-opened on June 6: the
May-29 at 0.14% yield and 2.57x cover; the May-50 at 1.16% yield and 1.63x
cover. the 15- Yr was last re-opened on May 2, at 0.78% yield and 2.3x cover.
- BACKGROUND/RV: We are in uncharted territory across the French curve, with all
3 OATs on offer achieving record-low yields earlier this week and negative
yields through 10-Yr. Per Tradeweb data, the 10-Yr yields -0.107%, 15-Yr yields
0.255%, and 30-Yr yields 0.820%. The theme since ECB Pres Draghi`s Jun 18 Sintra
speech (accelerating with Lagarde`s appointment as his successor) has been curve
flattening led by the long-end: 30-Yr yld has fallen by 25.5bps since then,
3.9bps more than the 10-Yr and 2.2bps more than the 15bps. Spreads have come
down too: 30-Yr OAT/Buxl is at lowest since Nov 2018 at 61bps. Notably, OATs
have become sharply cheaper vs swaps: equiv EUR swap vs 30-Yr has come down from
a 2-yr wide of 36bps in May to 19bps (lowest since Nov 2018). Too far, too fast?
- TIMING: Results should be out at around 0950UK time.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.