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French HICP eases to 5.3% y-y in June

FRANCE DATA
  • French flash HICP eased in June to 5.3% y/y from 6.0% y/y in May, while flash CPI eased to 4.5% from 5.1%. Both HICP and CPI were 0.1pp lower than consensus expectations.
  • HICP and CPI both rose 0.2% m/m in June after both declined 0.1% in May.
  • The encouraging decline in HICP corroborates French June consumer confidence data, which showed inflation expectations continuing to cool sharply.
  • The June drop in inflation was largely due to a slowing of energy price increases, and to a lesser extent food prices.
  • Services CPI cooled marginally by 0.1pp to 2.9% y/y, while manufactured goods rose 0.2pp to 4.3% y/y. INSEE highlighted that this was due to a delayed start in Summer manufacturing sales this year.
  • The direction of core inflation for this month cannot be inferred from the flash data.

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