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FTN Financial's Jim Vogel said..............>

US VIEW
US VIEW: FTN Financial's Jim Vogel said "congressional action last night
included provisions that allow the President to sign the new tax bill in 2017
without triggering mandatory spending cuts in social programs. This could be
important to the bond market in the closing days of December."
- He adds "many financial institutions may add to their GAAP losses from the
writedown of deferred tax assets, after the bill is signed, by taking additional
losses in their investments. Those investment proceeds would move out the curve
to increase earnings. Combining multiple sources of losses into this quarter was
an active strategy coming into this week, but slowed when the signing date was
thrown into question on Tuesday."
- Vogel adds too that the "tax/earnings strategy is even more attractive given
the curve steepening in 2s/7s. Traders are prepping for bid lists this morning."
But "the action will not be directly in Treasuries," he said. But "other things
equal, one net impact should be flattening pressure on the yield and spread
curves," he said.

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