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Further Softening In Fed Hike Expectations

STIR FUTURES
  • As seen yesterday, implied Fed hikes have softened in the European session after holding steady through Asian hours.
  • FOMC-dated Fed Funds point to 51bp for June but slip to a cumulative 97bps for Jul, the low end of the post-May FOMC range at levels last seen two weeks ago prior to Mester not ruling out a 75bp hike forever and the CPI beat.
  • The larger relative declines come further out, with 130bp for Sep and 177bp to year-end both at post-May FOMC lows.
  • Fedspeak: VC Brainard discusses digital assets at 1200ET and Daly (’24 voter) is interviewed on CNBC at 1300ET.

Cumulative hikes implied by FOMC-dated Fed Funds futuresSource: Bloomberg

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